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Objective To measure the burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2019, and to predict its changes from 2020 to 2044, so as to provide insights into formulation of the targeted hepatitis C control strategy. Methods The total burden due to hepatitis C-associated diseases in China from 1990 to 2019 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 (GBD 2019) data resources, and the trends in age-standardized prevalence, incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rate of hepatitis C-associated acute hepatitis C (AHC), chronic liver diseases (CLD) and liver cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 were evaluated in China from 1990 to 2019 using estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). In addition, the changes in the burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases were predicted in China from 2020 to 2044 using a Bayesian model. Results The prevalence, incidence, mortality and DALY rate of hepatitis C-associated diseases all appeared an overall tendency towards a decline in China from 1990 to 2019 (EAPC = −2.64%, −2.24%, −3.81% and −3.90%, respectively); however, there was a minor rise in the incidence and prevalence of hepatitis C-associated diseases from 2015 to 2019. The overall prevalence of hepatitis C-associated diseases reduced from 2 152.7/105 in 1990 to 1 254.1/105 in 2019 in China, with a reduction of 41.7%. The overall incidence reduced from 87.9/105 in 1990 to 55.0/105 in 2019 in China, with a reduction of 37.4%, and the highest incidence was seen for AHC, followed by CLD and liver cancer. The overall mortality and DALY rate of hepatitis C-associated diseases was 4.0/105 and 100.8/105 in China from 1990 to 2019, with CLD showing the largest contributions to the gross mortality and DALY. The mortality and DALY rate of hepatitis C-associated diseases were 5.5/105 and 142.4/105 among men in China in 2019, which were both much higher than among women (2.8/105 and 60.3/105, respectively), and the overall prevalence (1 604.9/105), mortality (30.2/105) and DALYs (437.1/105) of hepatitis C-associated diseases were all highest among patients at ages of 70 years and older, and the highest incidence was seen among patients at ages of 0 to 9 years (167.3/105). The incidence of hepatitis C-associated diseases was predicted to rise in China from 2020 to 2044; however, the DALY rate was projected to appear a tendency towards a decline. Conclusions Although the burden of hepatitis C-associated diseases showed a tendency towards a decline in China from 1990 to 2019, the burden remained high, and was predicted to slightly rise from 2020 to 2044. High attention should be paid to screening of hepatitis C among infants and treatment among adults.
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ObjectiveTo investigate the mortality and years of life lost of pancreatic cancer in Baoshan District of Shanghai，from 2009 to 2021， and to provide scientific evidence for the prevention and control of pancreatic cancer in the future. MethodsThe death surveillance data of Baoshan District from 2009 to 2021 were collected from the Shanghai chronic disease surveillance information management system. Crude mortality， standardized mortality，potential years of life lost （PYLL）， potential years of life lost rate （PYLLR） ， average years of potential life lost （AYLL） ， annual percentage change （APC） were calculated to analyze the trend of mortality and life loss of pancreatic cancer. ResultsFrom 2009 to 2021， a total of 2117 deaths of pancreatic cancer were reported in Baoshan District， accounting for 7.05% of all cancer deaths. The average age of the death cases was （71.18±10.97）years. The youngest was 3 years old and the oldest was 96 years old. The death component ratio of pancreatic cancer increased with time （P<0.05）， and the average death age of women was higher than that of men （P<0.05）. The crude mortality of pancreatic cancer was 17.38/105 in Baoshan District from 2009 to 2021， showing a rising tendency （P<0.05） with APC of 3.74%. The standardized mortality of pancreatic cancer was 7.84/105. The crude mortality of pancreatic cancer was 19.71/105 in men and 14.89/105 in women， both showed a tendency towards a rise （P<0.05 ） with APC of 4.44% and 2. 89%， respectively. The crude mortality of pancreatic cancer showed a tendency towards a decline in residents at ages of 45 to 60 years （ P<0.05 ）， with APC of 4.74%. The PYLL and PYLLR of pancreatic cancer were 8 115 person-years and 0.67‰ in Baoshan District from 2009 to 2021， while the AYLL of pancreatic cancer was 3.83 years per person. The PYLL was higher in men than in women. ConclusionThe mortality rate of pancreatic cancer in Baoshan District shows an increasing trend. The healthy life of elderly and men is affected largely by pancreatic cancer. It is necessary to strengthen the health education on the prevention/control of pancreatic cancer and healthy life style， thereby improving the tertiary prevention system of pancreatic cancer.
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Objective @#To analyze the trends in incidence of thyroid cancer in Huangpu District, Shanghai from 2002 to 2017, so as to provide insights into the management of thyroid cancer.@*Methods @#The incidence of thyroid cancer in Shanghai from 2002 to 2017 was collected from the cancer registration system created by Shanghai Center for Disease Control and Prevention. The crude and standardized incidence of thyroid cancer were estimated by year, gender and age groups, and annual change percentage ( APC ) was calculated to analyze the trends in incidence of thyroid cancer.@*Results @#A total of 2 854 new cases of thyroid cancer were reported in Huangpu District from 2002 to 2017, and the crude and standardized incidence rates of thyroid cancer were 19.57/105 and 13.47/105, with APC of 18.15% and 17.93% ( P<0.05 ), respectively. The crude and standardized incidence rates of thyroid cancer were 10.02/105 and 7.06/105 in men, with APC of 19.58% and 19.04% ( P<0.05 ), and were 28.90/105 and 19.95/105 in women, with APC of 17.33% and 16.99% ( P<0.05 ), respectively. The crude incidence of thyroid cancer was higher in women than in men ( P<0.05 ). In addition, there were two peaks in the crude incidence of thyroid cancer in patients at age of 35 to 39 and 60 to 64 years, with crude incidence rates of 28.98/105 and 33.36/105, respectively. @*Conclusions @#The incidence of thyroid cancer appeared a tendency towards a rise in Huangpu District from 2002 to 2017, and much attention should be paid to females and patients aged 60 to 64 years.
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ObjectiveTo understand the incidence and change trend of thyroid cancer in Qingpu District， Shanghai from 2007 to 2016， and to provide a reference for formulating relevant prevention and treatment strategies. MethodsThe incidence data of thyroid cancer among residents in Qingpu District from 2007 to 2016 were collected using the Shanghai Malignant Tumor Registration System， and the crude incidence rate was calculated for different gender and age groups. The age-standardized incidence rate was calculated using the world standard population， and the annual percentage change （APC） was calculated using Joinpoint software to analyze the time trend of the incidence of thyroid cancer. ResultsThe incidence of thyroid cancer changed from 8.97/105 in 2007 to 52.02/105 in 2016， with an increase of 479.93% （APC=23.60， P<0.05）. The standardized incidence rate of thyroid cancer in men and women was 11.21/105 and 32.11/105， respectively， Male to female incidence ratio was 1∶3. Thyroid cancer in Qingpu District was mainly concentrated in the 25‒64 age group， accounting for 88.03% of the total incidence. ConclusionFrom 2007 to 2016， the incidence of thyroid cancer in Qingpu District， Shanghai has a significant upward trend. The age of high incidence tends to be younger and the incidence of women is significantly higher than that of men. Corresponding prevention and treatment measures should be formulated in consideration of the discovered incidence characteristics.
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Objective @#To analyze the trend of lung cancer incidence in Shaoxing, Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2019, so as to provide the basis for lung cancer prevention and control.@*Methods @#The data of lung cancer were collected through the information management system of chronic disease surveillance in Zhejiang Province.The crude incidence rate, age-standardized incidence rates by Chinese standard population ( ASIRC ) and by world standard population ( ASIRW ), truncated rate ( 35-64 ) years old ), and cumulative rate (0-74 years old) were calculated. The annual percentage change ( APC ) was used to analyze the trend of lung cancer. The annual contribution rate was used to analyze the contribution of the incidence trend with age to the total trend. @*Results @#Totally 22 261 cases of lung cancer were reported in Shaoxing from 2014 to 2019. The crude incidence rate, ASIRC, ASIRW, truncated rate ( 35-64 years old ), and cumulative rate ( 0-74 years old ) were 83.51/100 000, 41.28/100 000, 41.01/100 000, 57.00/100 000 and 5.11%, respectively. The crude incidence rate, ASIRC and ASIRW increased significantly from 2014 to 2019, with the APC values of 8.56%, 6.42% and 6.05%, respectively ( P<0.05 ). The crude incidence rate, ASIRC, ASIRW, truncated rate ( 35-64 years old ), and cumulative rate ( 0-74 years old ) of man were 105.25/100 000, 48.09/100 000, 50.69/100 000, 62.03/100 000 and 6.42%, respectively, which were higher than those of women ( 61.84/100 000, 33.05/100 000, 31.35/100 000, 51.71/100 000 and 3.76% ).The crude incidence rate increased with age. The annual contribution rates of lung cancer incidence in people aged 15-<45 years, 45-<55 years, 55-<65 years and ≥65 years were 51.20%, 30.86%, 15.79% and 2.15%, respectively. The crude incidence rate in people aged 15-<45 years, 45-<55 years and 55-<65 years increased significantly from 2014 to 2019, with the APC values of 23.84%, 13.79% and 6.78%, respectively ( P<0.05 ). @*Conclusion @#From 2014 to 2019, the incidence of lung cancer in Shaoxing shows an increasing trend, and the age of onset is getting younger.
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Objective: To analyze the mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer in Cixian County, Hebei Province, China, over the past 33 years, and provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of such cancer. Methods: According to the cancer registration regulations, changes in the mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer were collected, sorted and evaluated, and the trends in the mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer were analyzed using the cancer registration data accumulated by the Cixian cancer Registration Office between January 1, 1983, and December 31, 2015. The percentage changes in crude mortality, standardized mortality in China, and the standardized worldwide mortality were calculated. The annual percent change of mortality was estimated using a linear regression model of the adjustment rate. Results: Over the 33-year period in Cixian County, the average crude mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer was 119.31/100,000, including 149.21/100,000 for males and 88.40/100,000 for females. The standardized mortality rate in China was 160.85/100,000, including 227.00/100,000 males and 108.07/100,000 females. The worldwide standardized mortality rate was 162.39/100,000, including 228.52/100,000 males and 109.30/100,000 females. Conclusions: The mortality of upper gastrointestinal cancer displayed a decreasing trend, but it still had the highest mortality rate of malignant tumors in Cixian County. Age-specific mortalities were increasing along with the rise of age.
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Objective@#To understand the epidemiological characteristics of viral hepatitis B in Shaoxing from 2008 to 2018,so as to provide basis for formulating the viral hepatitis B prevention and control strategy. @*Methods@#The data of viral hepatitis B cases in Shaoxing from 2008 to 2018 were collected from infectious diseases reporting and management system. Descriptive epidemiological method was employed to analyze the time,place and population characteristics of viral hepatitis B cases in Shaoxing. Annual percentage change（APC）was calculated to analyze the development trend of viral hepatitis B.@*Results @#From 2008 to 2018,a total of 22 764 cases of viral hepatitis B were reported in Shaoxing,with an average annual incidence rate of 42.24/100 000 and a standardized incidence rate of 39.19/100 000. The incidence rate of viral hepatitis B decreased from 2008 to 2018,among which the APC from 2012 to 2018 was -18.00% with a significantly downward trend（P<0.05）. Six counties,cities or districts in Shaoxing reported cases of viral hepatitis B,of which Zhuji（49.40/100 000）,Yuecheng（44.17/100 000）and Xinchang（43.28/100 000）ranked top three in average annual incidence rate. The incidence rate of viral hepatitis B in men was 57.07/100 000,which was higher than 27.33/100 000 in women（P<0.05）.The age of onset was mainly 25-59 years old,with 16 941 cases（74.42%）reported. The top three occupations were farmers,workers and migrant workers,with 15 013（65.95%）,2 730（11.99%）and 1 121（4.92%）cases reported,respectively. @*Conclusions@#The incidence of viral hepatitis B in Shaoxing from 2008 to 2018 showed a downward trend. Farmers,workers and migrant workers aged 25-59 years were at high risk of hepatitis B infection.
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Objective This study aimed to examine temporal trends in all cancer-eliminated life expectancy and potential years of life lost (PYLL) in Kunshan city, Jiangsu province, between 1981 and 2015. Methods Data were collected from the vital records of Kunshan city. Cancer-eliminated life expectancy and PYLL were calculated by sex,and the Chinese population from the year 2000 was used to calculate age-standardized PYLL. Estimated annual percentage changes (APC) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were used to examine temporal trends in increased cancer-eliminated life expectancy. Results Between 1981 and 2015,there was a significant decrease in age-standardized PYLL among males (APC=-2.31%, 95% CI:-2.51% to-2.11%) and females (APC=-1.91%, 95% CI:-2.26% to-1.56%). However, an increase was found in cancer-eliminated life expectancy in males and females, from 3.23 to 4.72 years in males(APC=2.42%,95% CI:1.64% to 3.20%)and from 1.10 to 2.94 years in females(APC=3.91%, 95% CI: 1.78% to 6.04%). Conclusion An overall decrease in age-standardized PYLL was observed when all cancers were considered,and an increase in cancer-eliminated life expectancy was found, suggesting that premature deaths due to cancers were reduced gradually. However, the negative effects of cancer on the health of the whole population have not been fully alleviated.
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Objective To examine the temporal trend of mortality and probability of premature death from chronic respiratory disease in Kunshan City, Jiangsu Province. Methods Records of chronic respiratory disease death were derived from the vital registry system. Crude death rates, age-standardized mortality rate, and probability of premature death were calculated. Annual percent changes (APC) were estimated to examine the temporal trend. Results The crude death rate of chronic respiratory disease decreased from 129.14/105in 1993 to 41.10/105in 2016, and its APC was-4.1% (95% CI:-5.1%--3.1%, P<0.01). Age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 107.85/105in 1993 to 14.60/105in 2016 for both sexes (APC=-7.7%, 95% CI:-8.6%--6.8%, P<0.01). Moreover, the probability of premature death from chronic respiratory disease decreased from 3.96% in 1993 to 0.28% in 2016 (APC=-13.2%, 95% CI:-14.7%- -11.7%, P<0.01). Conclusion The mortality rate of chronic respiratory disease decreased substantially from the year 1993 to 2016 in Kunshan City. Residents are less likely to die of chronic respiratory disease before 70 years of age.
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Objective@#To investigate the overall incidence and age distribution of upper digestive tract cancer in Cixian county, and to provide a reliable basis of prevention and treatment for upper gastrointestinal cancer.@*Methods@#Collected annual incidence rate among 2003-2012 from Cixian cancer registry and abstracted all incidence rate of upper digestive tract cancer. The age-standardized incidence rate by Chinese standard population (ASR China) was calculated using the national population composition of 2000. The age-standardized incidence rate by world standard population (ASR world) was calculated using the world population composition of 1964 of Segi's. The annual average change (APC) was used to estimate the growth rate of the last two years in comparision with the first two years, which was calculated by Joinpoint regression model. The data was divided into two sections (from 2003 to 2007, and from 2008 to 2012), and the rate difference of different age group was calculated.@*Results@#The crude incidence rate of the digestive tract cancer from 2003 to 2012 was 165.36/100 000 (10 309/6 234 346), which dropped from 170.75/10 100 000 (1 029/602 638) of 2003 to 146.02/100 000 of 2012 (936/640 991).The PC and APC of the crude incidence rate of upper gastrointestinal cancer were-12.96%, and-1.54% (95%CI:-3.22%-0.07%), respectively. The PC and APC of ASR China were-10.83%, and-1.30% (95%CI: 2.54%-0.03%), respectively. The PC and APC of ASR world were-9.82%, and-1.13% (95%CI:-2.20%--0.03%), respectively. The incidence of upper gastrointestinal cancer decreased. The incidence rate of 2003-2007 and 2008-2012 were 171.55/100 000 (5 239/3 048 593), and 159.41/10 000 (5 070/3 180 514), respectively and the rate difference was-12.15/100 000. The decrease of rate difference of 70 to 74 years old was the most (-340.32/100 000) and the increase of rate difference over the age of 85 was the most (447.21/100 000).@*Conclusion@#From 2003 to 2012, the crude incidence of upper digestive tract cancer in Cixian showed a decreasing trend, and the 70-74 years old age group shows the most obvious decline
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Background and purpose:Increasing thyroid cancer (TC) incidence has caused wide public concern. It is typically interpreted as an increase in the true occurrence of TC but may also relfect changing life style or aging of population or increased diagnostic scrutiny. This study describes the temporal trend for incidence of TC and survival rate of patients by summarizing the 41 years TC incidences and follow-up data in Xuhui District, Shanghai.. Methods:Annual TC incidence data of Xuhui District from 1973 to 2013 were provided by Shanghai Cancer Registry System. The calculation of age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) was based on the population of the year 1973. Temporal trends in TC incidence were analyzed based on the natural spline regression model. Annual percentage change (APC) was estimated by Jointpoint software from US National Cancer Institute, as well as survival rates were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method by Stata software.Results:During the period from 1973 to 2013, papillary cancer was the dominant type with proportion 69.8%. The ASIRs for female TC were 2.51-2.70 times as high as those for male TC. The average age of TC incidence for male was 50.04±14.71 while for female was 48.57±13.65. When aging factors were removed, incidence rate of TC was on the rise since 1981 with the APC of 8.46% (95%CI: 5.9%-11.1%), and on a rapid growth from 2004 to 2013 with the APC of 20.30% (95%CI: 9.8%-31.7%). The study showed that the 5-year TC survival rate was 95.21%, and the 10-year TC survival rate was 89.09%. In addition, survival rate of female was higher than that of male (χ2=15.43,P=0.000 1).Conclusion:The rising trend of TC in Xuhui District is similar to those in Shanghai and some developed countries. Although the mortality rate of TC is low, it has a rapid increase in incidence. Studies on factors associated with TC will help to clarify the epidemiological features about TC and promote more eff-cient prevention and control strategies.